Monero Valuation – Update and Refocus

Monero Valuation – Update and Refocus

It only took about 2 days after I shared some thoughts on Monero valuation that I regretted doing so. Various other responsibilities have kept me getting around to sharing my updated thoughts, but I’m glad to finally be doing so now, with this note.

My regret hasn’t been so much around making an embarrassing technical omission (which I pointed out in it). Even with that, the directional and order-of-magnitude conclusions were still largely intact, it was an interesting idea to explore for me, and I’ve had some fun follow up email exchanges concerning modifications and refinements.

My regret was publicly focusing at all on an association between Monero and DarkNet/Criminal activities.

At the same time as I’m first and foremost interested in the truth, I believe that there are responsible ways to share it as well as reckless and ill-conceived ways to do so. I don't think my article did a very good job on this front.

Unfortunately, because of the unique threat that Monero poses to corrupt fiat-money regimes, it (like Bitcoin, though more Bitcoin of yesteryear.... way way back, like, in 2016...) is increasingly being targeted and attacked to try and prevent public adoption. I expect this will increase as its profile rises.

One of the main ways this occurs is to try and convince people that it is associated with ‘bad stuff’ and people should therefore stay away. Whether it’s a CNBC (does anybody even really watch that anymore?) attractive but mindless reader of other people’s words on the teleprompter anchor-person asking leading questions trying to denigrate it, or stories of association with the Boogey-men of the day (“Evil North Koreans like Monero! Boo!! Hiss!! It’s Bad!! Stay Away!!), there is undoubtedly an active campaign to create negative associations in the public mind so that prospective adopters don’t look more closely and realize its true merit.[1]

By writing an article discussing Monero’s valuation potential as a ‘Dark’ coin, I unwittingly fed that association, and it’s for that reason that I regret it.

So let me here try and set the record straight. 

Monero’s real promise is not its ability to be successfully used in support of illicit or illegal activity. That is a valid trait, but is a relatively minor point.

Monero’s real promise is not that it’s a coin for people who value privacy, and hate the fact that we are all routinely, continually (and illegally for the most part) spied upon by governments, their cronies and puppet-masters.  That is again, a valid trait, and one that is deeply connected with the bigger story – but is still not quite ‘it’.

The big story of Monero is that it is uniquely positioned (and far more so than any other cryptocurrency – and therefore as a true successor to Bitcoin) to displace corrupt fiat money and bring back sound money.

Sound Money is a tough concept to express to the average person. Most people don’t even realize that there is anything wrong with the current fiat money system, much less that many societal problems are intimately connected to Fiat money being unsound. To name just a few of the connected issues (and without explaining them in great detail, as I do so here) they are:

-         Inflation: Despite technological advances that (according the ‘futurists’ of years ago) should have us all living in a world of 3-day workweeks (or less) and material abundance for everyone… more and more people (even intelligent, hard-working people!) struggle to keep up with rising prices for homes, food, fuel, healthcare, and all manner of basic living expenses.

-         Increased wealth inequality: Those closest to the ‘spigot’ of new-money creation (starting with the banks) benefit the most from fiat monetary policies. Everyone else foots the bill – contributing to our current situation where the vast majority of wealth is concentrated in a small fraction of the population… with the rate of that transfer increasing and concentrating.

-         Social & Political Engineering and Interference: With an unlimited ability to create and control money, whatever projects and plans those who control the money supply desire can be attempted and/or implemented: even if they are horrible and morally reprehensible things like war, repression, and propaganda.

Monero, as sound money, has the potential to significantly contribute to the healing of much of the damage caused by Fiat systems – and it can do this by working to correct these problem closer to their root causal level. By bringing the system back to equilibrium at a very fundamental basis, social and economic systems will begin to organically reflect core adjustments.

But what is sound money? Much has been said (by me, and others) about the requirements for money to be sound… but that can be confusing for a lot of people. So let’s take a different tack and talk for just a moment about what sound money is NOT.[2]

Sound money cannot be created out of thin-air by an un-elected, un-accountable, and often sociopathic ruling class.

Sound money cannot be used as a means to track, trace, spy-on, or control the people who use it.

Sound money cannot be used to institute a stealth theft of wealth on its user-base through inflation.

Sound money is not the result of people and efforts aiming to ‘get rich’ by launching a new coin.[3]

Are you starting to grok me on the bigger picture? It’s not about picking what the next most-pumped ICO is so you can maybe afford that car/house/thing you currently *can’t* afford. It’s about working to correct the mechanisms of a broken system which on the one hand tells us that we live in a world where our species has conquered the elements, harnessed subtle and powerful forms of energy, and approaches creating new forms of life (organic and inorganic) … and on the other hand tells us that it’s perfectly acceptable that the vast majority of our species struggles to ’work hard enough’ to provide enough for themselves and their families without having to either go into debt or rely on handouts… both of which are so conveniently provided by the very same institutions which corrupted the system in the first place!

The story of Monero is the story of money – sound money. In case you didn’t know, Monero actually means money in Esperanto… a language created by a man over a century ago who dreamed of people coming together in a more evolved degree of consciousness and level of connectedness.

There are currently conversations going in within the Monero community to figure out how to best communicate this message – ideally with a short tagline that is digestible for even the average layperson. There are a lot of suggestions floating around, and I have my own opinions (everyone does, right?) If you’ll humor me on this little soapbox, I’d like to make a pitch to you of my personal favorite, along with my reasons. (note: there's no particular reason why you should listen to or like my idea better than anyone else's... but this is my blog, right? you can at least hear/read me out :)) 

Monero: Sound Money.

The first thing this does is identify Monero as ‘money’ – which is different from most other coins, and hopefully gets people’s ears to perk up – after all, most people like money, right?

As far as the word ‘sound’ – well, I recognize this may take a little more exposition, and the process of informing people on what it means will probably be slow. But it is true and powerful in its implications – encapsulating all the other features of Monero – especially the privacy aspect which is necessary for fungibility (focusing solely on the privacy aspect though, while massively powerful for the libertarian elements of society, may unwittingly paint Monero in the public’s mind as something only useful for when you want or ‘need’ privacy… never mind illicit associations that confuse the issue).

While ‘sound’ may not translate well into other languages (a better translation might at times be ‘true’) I think that’s OK. The soundness of money is such a big and important concept, that sticking to it and forcing people to do a little learning to grasp its meaning could actually be a useful way of ensuring that people ‘get’ it: as opposed to something that is immediately obvious and digested – but perhaps with a shorter shelf-life.

Finally, there is an aspect of ‘Sound Money’ that some people might consider a little tame, or boring. But ultimately, money is not meant to be super-exciting, snappy, or witty. It’s a tool meant to facilitate human value exchanges, for the real bigger purpose – allowing us all to live and enjoy our day to day lives. Keeping the tagline relatively subdued and without lots of glitz and flash is to me taking the high road - ennobling rather than sensationalizing its profound importance. Getting people to ‘buy Monero’ but without an understanding of how it’s truly different from other cryptos might pump the price for a bit, but won’t do anything to engender what’s really needed for broad adoption and success – raised awareness.


Since this is a piece (nominally) on valuation, I’ll give a little tidbit for the dreamers (and ‘creative visualization enthusiasts’ alike).

Considering Monero as a serious and viable successor to not only Bitcoin but Fiat money, the formula for valuation is really quite simple (and I’ve shared it before):

= {[Global Money Supply Penetration] x [Global Money Supply]} / [Number of Coins]

While long-term success is still a big question-mark, this is what we’re “playing for”… and so the numbers for believers are ‘roughly’: 

$80 trillion  x [5% to 50% ] / [let's say for simplicity 20 million coins]

 This would put the price target in the wide-wide range of between $200,000/coin to $2,000,000/coin… or 500x – 5,000x current values.

All that said though, I will finish by sharing what I consider to be the single best slide ever produced on Monero’s valuation (courtesy of Fluffypony) – and which I think speaks the loudest about it’s true prospects for success.


P.S. the most appreciated form of support is an earnest email or message (on twitter, or even criticism is great so long as it's constructive! but as a few people have asked me to include it, a monero address that may receive donations/support if you feel so inclined is :


[1] That Monero is grouped along with other ‘privacy coins’ is another unfortunate obstacle that needs to be overcome. That DASH -  a ‘privacy coin’ which I liken to the Club in its inability to deliver privacy - has a bigger capitalization than Monero will I think be looked back upon as nothing short of an absurdist testament to the power, albeit temporary, of deceptive and manipulative marketing.
[2] Note: some of these traits are direct results of adhering to the 4 positive traits of sound money: Store of Value, Unit of Account, Medium of Exchange, and Fungibility. Others are ancillary or indirect traits.
[3] Especially those that steal the codebase of another coin, and despite not having a meaningful developer community, relentlessly pump the rip-off. Yes, I’m looking at you Electroneum.


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    assets, trade or bargain at Cindrum Bazaar, attract other users to the LAND they’ve created,
    and immerse themselves in a virtual social networking environment to mine the CIND token.

    The cultivated CIND token can be used as an asset within the Cindrum metaverse and other
    platforms that support the CIND token. Cindrum metaverse is a virtual world where users
    can enjoy various entertainment and monetizing elements such as creating UGC, conducting
    secured and verified NFT transactions, shopping, staking, mining and etc.

    It is explained that users can collect and display their NFTs and become an art collector
    within the platform, and furthermore, users will be open to infinite possibilities with the
    combination of LAND and ASSET of the virtual world. In particular, more CIND tokens can
    be mined as the users spend more time in the metaverse, utilize LAND and ASSET, or
    conduct more shopping in the Cindrum bazaar.

    An official from the Cindrum said, “Cindrum, a paradigm that can overcome the physical
    distance and limitation in reality, will be the leader in creating a new wave and trend using
    metaverse technology. We will be working at our best to bring the virtual world to reality.’
    Official Website:
    Telergam: @cindrumglobal

  49. $Yizzly coin is up 1900%. If you hand bought $50. Worth of $Yizzly coin you would have had $950 within 2weeks. This is only the beginning of going to the moon. Soon we will be on coinmarketcap and coingecko to get more investors. Don't miss out!

    Join our new Telegram Group: @yizzlycoin

    #Yizzly #ico #coin #nft #crypto #bnb #bsc

  50. Digital Diamonds is an Anti-Whale, Anti-Rug pull, long term passive generation, burn and buy back token with 1yr locked liquidity.
    Tokenomics - 2% holders, 6% LP, 2% burn, 3% tax, 2% buyback
    This gives holders passive generation, while keeping the supply steady and liquidity at a safe level.
    More info:
    Telegram: @DigitalDiamondsTG
    Twitter: @DiDiToken

    #Diamonds #ico #crypto #token #nft #nfts #btc #bsb #bsc

  51. The offical trumpwon coin twon buy now on pancakeswap
    “In Twon we trust”

    "Home of the Brave, Land of the TWON"

    Buy on Pancakeswap

    Join The telegram


    #ico #coin #token #nft #nfts #btc #bitcoin #trumpwoncoin #twoncoin

  52. LIFEBIRD - The Bird That Saves Lives
    First ever decentralized platform that is designated to provide immense benefits to the users in a modularized and sophisticated way. “Join hands with our community to grow rich, become more than self sufficient and help people in need”

    We have built this platform for the community who are interested in cryptocurrency, which we all know would rule the world very soon..!! and is a perfect start of a transition from traditional way of investment to trending mode of investment.

    This cryptocurrency platform is built with the motive of recognizing people in need and helping them improve their quality of life...!!

    LIFEBIRD is the first ever Crypto Community to trade Crypto-currencies for enhancing financial sustainability which would end the monetary struggles.

    We invite and encourage you to be a part of our community to deal with the real life struggles effectively, ensuring a shared value of transparency, fee less transactions, social and economic inclusion with environmental sustainability.

    LIFEBIRD Token – Partners your life

    Telegram: @LIFEBIRD

    #LIFEBIRD #ico #nft #token #coin #crypto #bnb #bsc #btc #bitcoin


  53. The first token for development of communications and security DApps.
    Decentralized communications and security solutions
    PadLock, a revolution in the communications field. A DApps platform for communications and security in constant development that will allow its users to send instant messages, make voice and video calls, transfer multimedia files and send emails, accessible to everyone at no cost.
    More info:
    Telegram: @padlocktoken
    Twitter: @TokenPadlock

    #ico #token #DApps #nft #bfts #bsc #bnb #crypto #padlocktoken


  54. 🐾🚀KITTY Coin🚀🐾

    🌕 Low tax MOONSHOT Token
    ☔️ LP locked & burned
    🚀 Auto LP
    🥳 Fair launch
    🧻 No paperhanded whales
    🍻 Amazing community
    🔥 Massive LP burn for large sells 🔥
    Join telegram: @SweetestTiniestCuteBabyKitty

  55. Coredex is a decentralized finance exchange platform identifying with all Nfts, defis, and crypto asset and their incorporation into coredex habitat layer via Binance smart chain. It is focused on reshaping and revolving how dex works fully while providing the most sturdy ecosystem ever mapped out for crypto much-needed evolution.
    Buy Token from:
    Telegram: @crdexfinance
    Twitter: @coredexfinance

    #ico #exchange #token #coin #crypto #nft #nfts #BSC #BNB #btc #bitcoin


  56. With inflation at an all-time high and not seeming to slow down anytime soon, cryptocurrency is in higher demand than ever, even higher demand than the most POPULAR PRESIDENT EVER! LetsGoBrandonToken looks to combat against the inflation put upon us by this admins policies & mandates, by giving back not only to our HODLers but also to GIVE BACK through to those who put their lives on the line during the COVID pandemic through our Charity.

    PancakeSwap, paste the contract address
    Smartchain address 0x0b1e1e818433abcdb0acb878c3d3ec95a8534527

    More info ?
    Telegram: @lgbtokenofficialchat
    Twitter: @LGBToken_FJB

  57. Welcome To System Cashflow, the only crypto service you will ever need!
    The Future Of Passive Income, defi projects and crypto are taking over the world.
    Our mission is to build the most profitable community of Cashflow believers.
    Don’t miss out on your first chance to 30x your investment!
    More info:
    Telegram: @systemcashflow

    #Cashflow #defi #ico #bsc #crypto #token bnb #btc

  58. Hotel planner login is an authentication process that ought to be followed to access your hotel planner account.

  59. Roblox download, it has a chat functionality where you get to send private messages or chat with a group of people from different parts of the world.

  60. Yes, Zalando App is available for you to shop your clothes, shoes, and accessories online rather than use the web.

  61. Medical Coin or MED COIN is a token created on the Binance Smart Chain (BSC). Pegged coins operate as BEP-20 tokens on Binance Smart Chain.

    Located in the Mecca of the Medical Device Industry Memphis,TN, MEDCoin is a token to allow investors to purchase tokens and invest in medical technology.

    MedCoin is created by Biomedical Engineers with a history in Startups and medical device design. We allow our investors (token holders) to refer ideas for consideration and we are always looking to finance the next big thing!

    To know more visit:

  62. #SolarHero is an exchange platform where people can buy and sell virtual ownership of #solar panels.

    Each SolarCity (#SLC) token
    acts as an investment commodity that represents ownership of a solar panel installed at any place in the world.

    More info :
    Telegram: @solarheroslc
    Twitter: @Solarherocity

  63. Corsac arrives, as records tumble with getting over 2000 Holders within 24 hours of listing at Coingecko and Coinmarketcap, is planning to cost an uproar in the NFT Market
    More info :
    Telegram: @corsacofficiallaunch
    Twitter: @corsac_official

    #Corsac #Token #ico #crypto #coin #bsc #bnb

  64. Clanity strives to build a self-sustaining community all over the world by connecting businesses with their customers through our blockchain rewards and community engagement program.

    Clanity is the first blockchain technology that attempts to simplify and efficiently reward a large number of individuals who make subjective contributions to local businesses all around the world with a universal utility token.

    To know more

    #ico #crypto #bsc #blockchain #clanity #nft #nfts

  65. 🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨



    This token is a deflationary coin which distributes 2% to holders. The name Karate Shiba comes from one off the developers who has a passion for karate and took karate as a lifetime hobby. We believe with hard work and dedication this token will have endless value. As developers of Karate Shiba we 100% believe in this project of ours and will not disappoint you or let you down.


    See you on the other side 😉

    PRESALE AT (23:00 UTC) 3RD DECEMBER 2021

    *🐕Karate Shiba🐕

    🔥Total Supply - 500 billion 🔥
    🔥2% burn 🔥
    🔥5% liquidity pool🔥
    🔥Marketing 3%🔥
    ✅ 2% distribution ✅






    #ico #bnb #bsc #Shiba #nft #nfts


  66. #Boltercoin: A #coin for the future special solutions in the field of energy
    Bolter coin has been created to provide easy access to goods and services (from raw materials to the final product) for individuals and companies, fast and highly secure with no intermediaries. In today’s world, advertising is an integral part of every business. One of the significant issues that can be handled using the #blockchain is an effective advertising and reducing its cost. The Bolter Token has unique solutions to solve this significant problem. This Token has a dedicated exchange to be able to accept new projects quickly.
    More info :
    Telegram: @boltercoin

  67. 🎇Tsar Network

    Are you in the green or defiled by the current state of crypto? We urge you to give it one last shot before giving up.

    State-of-the-art platform that will earn revenue across variety of services like its own wallet, escrow, marketplace, and custom smart contracts - only to distribute 50% of this fortune back to the token holders, for life, in BNB! Does that sound like the passive income you'd been searching all along?
    More info
    Telegram: @TsarNetwork

    #BNB #rewards
    #Staking #ico #crypto #nft

  68. The consumer wants to "know everything", "have the right to choose" and above all "wants to eat healthy with confidence". confidence". THIS TECHNOLOGICAL INNOVATION Guarantees a secure and unfalsifiable traceability of products
    Presale started at:
    More info at:
    Telegram: @icohlcoin

    #ico #coin #crypto #token #nft #bsc #bnb #btc


  69. GlobStake is a system where landing on crypto currency, forex trading with DeFi staking is done by a well experienced team and it's profit is shared to the investor
    More info:
    Telegram: @globstakeinternation

    #ico #crypto #defi #forex #nft #bnb #bsc #token

  70. Viking Shiba is a Decentralised future Memecoin from the family of Shiba & Doge.Viking Shiba is consider as the bravest dog in the family. The the hype for vikings is here again. It’s another opportunity for you to take advantage of the hype. You missed the Doge, Shiba and Folki ? Join the Viking Shiba presale $VST
    Presale Link:

    Telegram: @vikingshibatoken


  71. Ethereum fork, with delegated proof of stake validators, shorter 3second blocks, no mining, no inflation, fee-burning block chain.
    Free Pulsechain coins for etherum holders for first 30 days at launch.
    Telegram: @PulsechainCom


    Zilwar is the ecosystem of games built on Zilliqa Blockchain. Our mission is to expand the gaming portfolio within the Zilliqa ecosystem.
    We are developing our NFTs marketplace. The NFTs will be both collectible and nfts assets usable in games.

    We are releasing all the updates and information, have a nice travel.
    Follow us on:

    Telegram: @Zilwarofficial
    Twitter: @Zilwarofficial
    Medium: @zilwarteam

    Trailer ( Twitter post ):

  73. $ROY - Miss out on BabyDoge, Safemoon, Shib? This might be second chance

    New Crypto looking to overtake Solana for next generation in becoming the new chain for all Crypto Gaming.

    🎮 A Community DeFi token, ushering in the next generation of Gaming.
    More info :
    Telegram: @ROYprotocol
    Twitter: @ProtocolRoyal

  74. $BFS (BlackFridayShiba) is a decentralized meme token that gives back to its holders. The token will have two burn events that will increase the scarcity of the supply and provide more value to its community.
    More info :
    Telegram: @BlackFridayShib
    Twitter: @BlackFridayShib

    #BlackFridayShiba #Shiba #ico #crypto #nft #nfts #bnb #bsc

  75. CINDRUM’s native token ‘CIND’ goes live on XT.COM and DigFinex
    More info here:
    Telergam: @cindrumglobal

  76. Conjee: Empower NFT Marketplaces With Physical NFTs
    Conjee is a new revolutionary NFT platform that has perfectly blended the profitability of NFTs and the thrill of engaging with the metaverse. Unlike any other platform, Conjee allows users to trade NFT tokens backed by real-world items.

    The Conjee NFT marketplace is the first platform to offer services covering the full NFT lifecycle, enabling anyone to issue NFTs, participate in auctions, and trade NFTs. Using the platform’s tools, sellers and buyers trade in a secure way that proves product authenticity. The platform unlocks the great commerce potential of NFTs for all digital assets in both primary and secondary markets.
    More info:
    Telegram: @conjeenfttoken
    Twitter: @conjeenft

    #ico #crypto #token #nft #nfts #buynft #bsc #bnb

  77. - saving monuments for the generations to come -
    Unseen, super original token concept!

    BEP-20 tokenomics combined with real life monument restoration has the potential to create value for a lot of stakeholders (construction companies/investors/tourism industry/merchants/artisans).Monument conservation = job creation

    🏛 Unique and long-term project: saving monuments and landmarks
    ⏳ Very early - x10 potential this weekend (10k market cap)

    🔒 Liquidity locked for more than 1 year (Pancakeswap V2)
    💲 3% automatic LP
    🔃 3% redistribution

    📢 partnerships with external marketeers
    🖋 0x57685cbe7c84267e03a436611fdd4bc102cca150

    📌 Telegram: @monumentstoken
    📬 Twitter: @MonumentsToken

    MT, creating value by protecting monuments.

    #ICO #CRYPTO #BNB #BSC #NFT #TOKEN #MonumentsToken #BEP20

  78. COLECT is the first token that buys other tokens for you, which is why we deem COLECT, the one token to collect them all! Every two weeks the community decides the token it wants as the reward, which is then automatically airdropped to all COLECT holders.
    Presale started:
    More info:
    Telegram: @COLECTit

    #ico #crypto #bsc #bnb #token #COLECT #btc #nft #nfts

  79. Recapitulation of Royal Protocol PROJECT AMA event held at AMA LOVERS CLUB.
    Venue: @amaloversclub
    Date: Wednesday, 24th November, 2021
    Time: 20:00 UTC
    The Royal Protocol PROJECT team was represented by @RoyalCOO and @SunKitten9 who judiciously shared with us detailed knowledge and information about Royal Protocol PROJECT.
    Full article here:

  80. Roxyon is a #DeFi Planet is full of Digital gold and diamonds that you can earn and mine. Roxyon aims to create a new financial ecosystem. Roxyon Defi algorithm is chained to digital gold and diamonds, Mining GOLD& DIAMONDS using Roxyon protocol such as prof-of-gold and prof-of-diamonds.
    more info:
    Telegram: @RoxyonToken

  81. Biaheza Coin ($BHZ) is a new BEP-20 token on the Binance Smart Chain. Similar to Fluffy coin this is a decentralized token focused on revolutionizing web 3.0. Anyone can HODL Biaheza and become a millionare!
    More info:
    Instagram: @BiahezaCoin
    Twitter: @BiahezaCoin

    #ico #token #Biaheza #Coin #nft #nfts #crypto #bsc #bnb

  82. Welcome to Bladeheart.🗡❤️

    In this Ethereum blockchain based NFT Action RPG powered by the Bladeheart NFT framework, you can collect NFTs, own lands, fight epic monsters, and explore infinite worlds.

    As the in-game currency, the Bladeheart token (BHT) allows you to stake and farm tokens to earn rewards inside and outside the game universe.

    Explore the Bladeheart world now!

    🗡Token Symbol: BHT

    🔒Liq Lock

    ⚙️Contract: Coming Soon

    Follow us:
    🔖Telegram: @BladeHeartP2E
    🐤Twitter: @BladeheartNFT
    📱Instagram: @bladeheartnft/

  83. MoonShiba is a BEP20 Token Built on Binance Smart Chain.
    It is a decentralized and autonomous community-based meme token which has potential of 1000x.
    Founder of the project has a game development background and already working on P2E game at the moment.

    🌚 Max Supply : 1,000,000,000,000,000
    🔥 Burned: 50% 🎉 Marketing & Airdrops: 10%
    💰 Liquidity: 40%
    🥷 Unruggable: Liquidity was locked till 2055

    🔥 MoonShiba official links:
    🌐 Website:
    🌐 Twitter: @MoonShiba_Token
    🌐 Discord:

    🌐 Chart:
    🌐 PancakeSwap:
    Contract Address 0x4597634522E7117BC8210EA81ab9F55f3DcB930a


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